Election Dispatch: Modernist on Money & Politics
At Modernist we’re committed to engaging with our wealth while benefiting the larger community. Whether it is how we invest or where we bank, how we donate our money and time, or advocate for policy change, here are some of our greatest hits around money and values.
look to the past for context
For as long as markets have existed, stock prices have endured the risk of world wars, regional conflicts, revolutions and countless other geopolitical events. It’s natural for investors to look for connections between who wins the White House and which way the market will go, but nearly a century of returns shows that stocks have trended upward.
Stocks have rewarded disciplined investors for decades, through both Democratic and Republican presidencies.
The market tends to behave similarly regardless of the political party in power. We’ve shared graphs that show the market in relation to who’s in control of Congress and the White House—revisit these as we ramp up towards the election!
STAY FOCUSED ON YOUR PLAN
As always: diversification is your friend. While elections have the potential to reshape policies and legislation, it’s difficult to predict which sectors or industries could benefit. The most effective way to manage risk, whether geopolitical or otherwise, is broad diversification.
These are anxiety-inducing times! Fully acknowledge that. And as we tell our clients, it’s important to step back and consider the big picture, and use data-backed evidence to guide your decisions, not emotional reactions. Focus on what you can control: take a break from the news, take a walk, call a friend.
Get clear and strategic about your giving
Says Georgia: “I’m generally focused on giving to 1. lawyers to sue the Proud Boys and 2. journalists to cover those lawsuits. But I’m concerned about policy in an election year, so I lean towards non-deductible funding for 501c4s and the political campaigns of local change-makers early in their campaigns.”
We’ve been talking with clients and CPAs about resources that support democracy, especially the difference between donating to a 501(c)(3) and a 501(c)4: the quick primer: it’s about DIRECT vs. LEGISLATIVE impact.
We have a nice breakdown here with examples!
A few progressive orgs collaborated on this fabulous resource, which includes many strategies we love. Here’s one for creating a plan for giving:
Set an aspirational budget
Determine how much spending you wish to apply to: Presidential, Congressional, and state and local elections
Divide each category into campaign contributions, PACs, and 501(c)3s and 501(c)4s
Consider “adopting” another more conservative state for your giving to amplify their grassroots activists.
Execute your plan!